Moderate to locally breezy trade winds will continue for the next several days. The leeward side of the Big Island will see a diurnal pattern of mostly clear skies in the morning and then increasing clouds and scattered showers each afternoon before clearing again overnight. Limited showers riding in on the trades will focus over windward shores and slopes. Moderate to breezy east northeast trade winds will continue into the foreseeable future. This pattern will keep the state embedded within trade wind flow. Models show high pressure will remain parked far north of the islands through the week, while ridging aloft caps cloud and shower development. However, radar corroborates the effects of the capping inversion by showing very little activity beneath this cloud cover. The western edge of this cloud field covers most windward shores and slopes at this hour. Satellite loop shows a broad field of stable broken to overcast low clouds extending from Hawaiian windward waters almost all the way to the mainland. Overnight soundings show that our airmass is not particularly dry or stable, but is capped at around 5000 feet by a subsidence inversion that limits cloud and shower development. High pressure far north of the main Hawaiian Islands continues to drive moderate to breezy trade winds across local waters this morning. There is little to no change in synoptic setup and forecast philosophy from last evening. Total rainfall will be light as a persistent subsidence inversion caps cloud and shower development. Trade winds will remain in the moderate to locally breezy range. Detailed ForecastĮxpect a trade wind weather pattern through the weekend, with clouds and showers favoring windward and mauka areas. East winds 10 to 15 mph shifting to the north in the afternoon. Highs 82 to 91 near the shore to around 71 above 4000 feet. Northeast winds up to 15 mph shifting to the east after midnight. Lows around 75 near the shore to 51 to 58 above 4000 feet. Highs 82 to 92 near the shore to around 72 above 4000 feet. Highs 81 to 87 near the shore to 69 to 75 at 4000 feet. Wednesday: Partly sunny with scattered showers. Lows 62 to 72 near the shore to around 57 at 4000 feet. Tonight: Mostly cloudy with showers likely. Highs 79 to 86 near the shore to 68 to 73 at 4000 feet. Today: Partly sunny with scattered showers.
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